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TD Cowen

Commentary

‘Railroad Happy Hour’ Report: Market Leaders Point to ‘Mixed Conditions’ Across Railroad, Intermodal Network

“Leaders in the railroad market pointed to mixed conditions across the railroad and intermodal network,” according to TD Cowen’s latest Railroad Happy Hour report. "Improved operations are aiding service offerings…
Commentary

TD Cowen 1Q24 Rail Shipper Survey Says …

Our survey is comprehensive and covers a broad range of industrial and consumer industries, among others. Chemicals, Transportation, and Manufacturing comprised the largest percentages of participants. Shippers completing this survey…
Commentary

TD Cowen 1Q24 Rail Equipment Survey Says …

Our 1Q24 survey results are neutral to mildly positive for railcar demand. The order outlook was mixed, but a lower percent of shippers not ordering cited “no need” in 1Q24…
Commentary

TD Cowen 1Q24 Earnings Preview

We adjust our models as we head into Q124 earnings–a slow start to the year due to harsh weather was followed with a rebound and U.S. carloadings turning positive YTD,…
Tom Ellman, CFO, GATX (left); and Shari Hellerman, Head of Investor Relations, GATX (right).
Commentary

GATX Meeting Takeaways From TD Cowen

We spent a day in two Ohio cities with GATX CFO Tom Ellman and Head of Investor Relations Shari Hellerman. Takeaways include: continued strength in North America railcar leasing; growth…
Justin Roberts, VP, Corporate Finance & Treasurer, The Greenbrier Companies
Commentary

Greenbrier Group Meeting Takeaways From TD Cowen

We hosted a virtual group meeting with Justin Roberts, VP, Corporate Finance & Treasurer, The Greenbrier Companies. Mr. Roberts remains confident in GBX's long-term operational plan, launched in April at…
Jason Kuehn, Vice President Rail Practice, Oliver Wyman
Commentary

REF Locomotive Day Takeaways From TD Cowen

Most locomotive energy transition scenarios bode well for Wabtec and to a lesser extent Caterpillar. There appears to be a near-consensus within the industry that the fleet will be zero-emission…
Matt Elkott
Commentary

REF 2024: Rail Equipment Close to Equilibrium; Structural Shifts May Emerge

We had one-on-one and group meetings with several rail and rail equipment stakeholders at the Rail Equipment Finance Conference 2024 (REF), held March 3-6 in La Quinta, Calif. Putting the…
Yes there is an official “Suds With Seidl” beer glass. Just remember Rule G if you’re on duty! William C. Vantuono photo.
Commentary

Suds with Seidl: Positives From TD Cowen ‘Railroad Happy Hour’

Industry leaders were more bullish on rail and intermodal at the latest “Suds with Seidl” event at TD Cowen, as they see strong February trends after some weather-related weakness in January.…
“We are introducing 2024 EPS annual guidance of $1.30 to $1.50, which reflects improving margins in both our segments [Rail Products Group and Railcar Leasing and Management Services Group],” Trinity Industries President and CEO Jean Savage said on Feb. 22.

‘Continued Improvement’ Expected in 2024, Trinity’s Savage Says

Trinity Industries’ closed out 2023 with revenue up 51% over 2022 and a backlog of $3.2 billion, President and CEO Jean Savage said during an Feb. 22 financial report. Rising…
(Wabtec Photograph)

Wabtec: ‘Solid’ 4Q23, ‘Strong’ Order Pipeline (UPDATED 2/15)

“The Wabtec team delivered a strong finish to 2023 as evidenced by higher sales, margin expansion, increased earnings and improved cash flow,” President and CEO Rafael Santana said in a…
Commentary

Rail Equipment Expert Panel Takeaways

Railcar manufacturing inquiries and orders appear to have moderated, but the 2024 build outlook remains stable, modestly above replacement demand. Lease rates are holding up well at elevated levels. While…
Commentary

Report: Activist Investor Attempting NS Takeover

According to an unsubstantiated late-Jan. 31 Wall Street Journal article, an investor group led by activist Ancora Holdings Group, LLC intends to run a proxy fight and replace Norfolk Southern…
"We continued to optimize our fleet by selectively selling railcars in the secondary market, generating over $30 million of remarketing income in the quarter,” said GATX President and CEO Robert C. Lyons.

GATX 4Q23: ‘Excellent Financial Results’

Chicago-based GATX Corp. has reported fourth-quarter 2023 net income of $66.0 million, or $1.81 per diluted share, compared with fourth-quarter 2022’s $48.4 million, or $1.36 per diluted share. For full-year…
Commentary

TD Cowen Surveys: ‘Slight Positive’ Business Growth; ‘Mild Negative’ Railcar Demand

Our Fourth-Quarter 2023 Rail and Rail Equipment Surveys generated a positive read-through for the rail group, albeit with a mild negative for railcar manufacturing. 4Q23 Rail Survey Expected rate increases…
(Greenbrier Photograph)

For Greenbrier 1Q24, ‘Strong Performance’

The Greenbrier Companies’ new railcar backlog “remains robust,” said President and CEO Lorie Tekorius during a report on the manufacturer’s first fiscal quarter ended Nov. 30, 2023. “Our backlog, combined…
Commentary

Trinity ‘Well Positioned to Navigate North American Railcar Market’

We spent two days in three Southeast cities with Trinity Industries CFO Eric Marchetto and head of Investor Relations Leigh Anne Mann. Management articulated what is arguably a railcar paradigm…
(Trinity Industries Photograph)
Commentary

For TRN, Production Ramp, Continued Leasing Strength in 2024

As supply chain, labor and border challenges ease, Trinity Industries’ (TRN) year-to-date choppy execution, despite a backdrop of decidedly favorable supply dynamics, should improve leading to 14% 2024 production growth…
Commentary

Railroad Happy Hour a Bit Happier This Time

Leaders in the railroad and logistics market continue to see a challenged intermodal market and holiday peak season. Service has been materially improved on both coasts and the Class Is…
“Looking forward, we are confident that the breadth of our products and technologies combined with our ability to maintain resiliency during economic uncertainty will provide us with a solid foundation for growth and continued momentum as we close out this year and move into 2024,” Wabtec President and CEO Rafael Santana said during an Oct. 25 financial presentation.

Wabtec 3Q23: ‘Strong’ Results, Full-Year Guidance Raised

Despite “an increasingly volatile macro-economic environment,” Wabtec delivered a “strong” third quarter, as evidenced by increased growth in sales, margin, earnings and operating cash flow, Wabtec President and CEO Rafael…
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