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CN 2Q23: ‘Weaker Than Anticipated Volumes’

(CN)
“CN’s disciplined approach to scheduled railroading continues to deliver for our customers,” said CN President and CEO Tracy Robinson during a second-quarter 2023 financial report. “As volumes evolve, we will continue to refine our plan to optimize efficiency and drive further improvements to customer service. Our goal to accelerate sustainable, profitable growth through 2026 and beyond remains on track.”

CN on July 25 reported revenues of C$4.057 billion for the three-months ended June 30, 2023, down 7% (a decrease of C$287 million) from the prior-year period. This was “mainly due to lower volumes of intermodal, crude oil, U.S. grain exports and forest products, primarily as a result of lower demand for freight services to move customer goods and customer outages caused by Canadian wildfires, lower ancillary services including container storage and lower fuel surcharge revenues as a result of lower fuel prices; partly offset by freight rate increases, the positive translation impact of a weaker Canadian dollar and higher export volumes of Canadian grain,” according to the Class I railroad.

(CN Presentation Slide, Courtesy of CN)

Operating expenses for second-quarter 2023 were $C2.457 billion compared to $C2.575 billion for the same period in 2022. The decrease of $C118 million, or 5%, was “mainly due to lower fuel prices; partially offset by higher labor and fringe benefits expense mainly driven by higher average headcount and general wage increases and the negative translation impact of a weaker Canadian dollar,” according to CN.

(CN Presentation Slide, Courtesy of CN)

Following are more highlights of CN’s second-quarter 2023:

  • Operating income of C$1.600 billion, a decrease of C$169 million, or 10%.

  • Operating ratio, defined as operating expenses as a percentage of revenues, of 60.6%, an increase of 1.3-points, or an increase of 1.6-points on an adjusted basis.

  • Diluted EPS of C$1.76, a decrease of 8%, or a decrease of 9% compared to second-quarter 2022 adjusted EPS.

  • Free cash flow for second-quarter 2023 was C$1.100 billion, an increase of C$103 million, or 10%.

  • Free cash flow for the first half of 2023 was C$1.693 billion, an increase of C$125 million, or 8%.
  • Injury frequency rate of 1.00 (per 200,000 person hours), an improvement of 17% and accident rate of 1.91 (per million train miles), a deterioration of 5%.
  • Through dwell of 6.8 (entire railroad, hours), an improvement of 6%.
  • Car velocity of 216 (car miles per day), an improvement of 3%.
  • Through network train speed of 19.9 (mph), an improvement of 3%.
  • Fuel efficiency of 0.888 (US gallons of locomotive fuel consumed per 1,000 gross ton miles (GTMs)), 6% less efficient.
  • Train length of 7,934 (feet), a decrease of 6%.
  • Revenue ton miles (RTMs) of 55,877 (million), a decrease of 8%.
(CN Presentation Slide, Courtesy of CN)

2023 Outlook

In light of CN’s second-quarter results and revised expectation of “weaker than anticipated volumes” in the second half of 2023, CN says it is updating its full-year outlook and now expects “flat to slightly negative year-over-year growth in adjusted diluted EPS in 2023 (compared to the April 24, 2023, expectation of growth in the mid-single digits).”

CN says it “reiterates its longer-term financial perspective and continues to target compounded annual diluted EPS growth in the range of 10%-15% over the 2024-2026 period driven by growing volumes more than the economy, pricing above rail inflation and incrementally improving efficiency, all of which assumes a supportive economy.”

(CN Presentation Slide, Courtesy of CN)

For more details, visit the investors’ section of CN’s website.