Posts by Rick Paterson
Rick Paterson
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NS vs. CSX Recrews
In our prior report, we highlighted Ancora’s fraught and incurious NS vs. CSX operational benchmarking, specifically terminal dwell and trains holding for power. We took particular issue with the extraordinarily…
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Some Questionable NS vs. CSX Analysis
On April 18, Ancora hosted a townhall in New York City for Norfolk Southern stockholders, and during that meeting [potential new NS board member] Gil Lamphere implored the audience to…
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Post-Winter Acceleration Needed
Winter is always a challenge for the railroads, but the one we’ve just had was at least milder than normal. Apart from being the warmest on record, it included just…
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There’s No Such Thing as ‘Resilience Railroading’
We’ve of course been watching the back and forth between the Ancora group and Norfolk Southern ahead of the May 9 proxy contest. We don’t feel a need to comment…
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Bad Luck Playing an Outsized Role
This report often—and necessarily—focuses on the individual railroads that are struggling the most, for one reason or another, and trying to right the ship. Norfolk Southern has spent the most…
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BNSF Desperate for an Inflection
The Smokehouse Creek wildfire in Texas, which severed BNSF’s Transcon route on February 27, was the latest in a series of problems that have significantly slowed BNSF’s network and impacted…
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Smokehouse Creek Fire Smokes BNSF
While it’s still technically winter, that hasn’t stopped the largest wildfire in Texas history raging in the panhandle, northeast of Amarillo. There aren’t many people living in this part of…
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Volume Catch-Up from Arctic Blast Complete
I’ll start with the good news, which concerns volume trends in the three reported weeks following the Arctic Blast, which struck the railroads in the third week of January. The…
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Arctic Blast Rebound Shows Good Industry Recoverability
Arctic Blast recovery, week 2: We’ll be able to shift focus shortly, because most of the damage from the Arctic Blast in the third week of January has now been…
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Arctic Blast Recovery; NS Activism (Again)
Before we talk about the recovery, let’s compare the recent Arctic Blast with comparable cold snaps over the past four winters. There were two Arctic Blasts last winter, falling in…
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Arctic Blast Was Brutal
The Arctic Blast has been our singular focus over the past few weeks, starting with foreboding anticipation, then some historical context, and we’ve now reached the quantifying the damage stage.…
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Solid Operations and Service Closing 2023
In recent weeks we’ve focused on the big tailwind from Thanksgiving and its subsequent slingshot effects, which accelerated the overall system and propelled some key metrics at Union Pacific, BNSF,…
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BNSF Intermodal Snaps Back
Over the past few weeks we’ve been observing and discussing the unanticipated strength in BNSF domestic intermodal volumes, which began in October, and how the operating team has handled it.…
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Rail System Looking Good
On Dec. 4, we highlighted the strong operational recovery that has taken hold at Union Pacific, and we’re now in a position where most of the industry is running well.…
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Union Pacific Running Well
Since the early 2022 Service Crisis, we’ve seen the U.S. railroads, one-by-one, reach a point where service is arguably fully restored, at least to where it was prior. CSX was…
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Ed Harris: “Just Run the Trains on Time”
On Oct. 18, CN announced its operations succession plan as COO Ed Harris heads back into retirement, which occurred Nov. 15. Harris is arguably the best operator in the business…
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CPKC Mexico Dwell Still in Free-Fall
Canadian Pacific Kansas City’s Sanchez Yard, near the U.S. border, continues to be on a roll. Yard dwell time fell for the fourth consecutive week, this time from 19.4 to…
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CPKC Consolidating Gains in Mexico Efficiency
Last week we highlighted a big drop in terminal dwell in Mexico as evidence that CPKC’s broader Mexican operation is finally turning around, after a year in the doldrums. Our…
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CPKC: Big Step Down in Mexico Terminal Dwell
We’ve been following terminal dwell time at Canadian Pacific Kansas City’s three primary Mexican yards for months as we wait for CPKC’s Mexican operation—which has been hamstringing financial results—to turn…
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Q&A with BNSF VP Transportation Matthew Garland
One by one, the U.S. railroads are getting their operating houses in order following the difficulties of 2022, and as that evolves we’re engaging with senior operations leaders to understand…
















